Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
