Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
