Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.47%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
