Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.
