Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Tigres had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Tigres win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
