Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
