Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
