Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Harrogate Town in this match.