Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 19.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
