Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
