Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
