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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-0 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
26.09% | 27.27% | 46.63% |
Both teams to score 46.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.51% | 58.48% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.93% | 79.07% |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.71% | 38.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.95% | 75.04% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.9% | 25.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% | 59.79% |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-0 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.59% Total : 26.09% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 13.28% 0-2 @ 9.18% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-3 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.46% 1-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 37 | 11 | 16 | 10 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 49 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 47 |
16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
18 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 43 |
19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 36 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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