Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
