Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
