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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
57.03% | 23.27% | 19.7% |
Both teams to score 50.41% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.77% | 49.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.71% | 71.29% |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% | 17.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.82% | 47.18% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.76% | 39.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.05% | 75.94% |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.82% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.8% 3-0 @ 6.18% 3-1 @ 5.78% 4-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.56% 4-2 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 0.97% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.92% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 11.06% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.25% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 13 | 23 | 56 |
2 | Stevenage | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 51 |
3 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 46 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 39 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 39 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 39 |
7 | Salford City | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 38 |
8 | Swindon TownSwindon | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 38 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 |
10 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Walsall | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 36 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 36 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Stockport CountyStockport | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 34 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 30 |
17 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 29 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 26 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 23 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 22 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 19 |
23 | Rochdale | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 17 |
24 | Gillingham | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 28 | -21 | 14 |
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