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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
40.98% | 27.84% | 31.18% |
Both teams to score 47.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.68% | 58.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.06% | 78.94% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.04% | 27.96% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.41% | 63.59% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% | 34.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% | 70.86% |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.8% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.84% | 0-1 @ 10.25% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 81 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 73 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 70 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Stevenage | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 70 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 68 |
7 | Salford City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 65 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 61 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 57 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 53 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 41 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 51 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 48 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 41 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 41 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 39 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 33 |
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