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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
23.82% | 25.51% | 50.67% |
Both teams to score 49.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% | 53.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% | 75.16% |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.35% | 37.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.57% | 74.43% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.79% | 21.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% | 54.09% |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 7.8% 2-1 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.82% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 12.38% 0-2 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 9.38% 0-3 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 4.85% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.88% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 57 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 52 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 50 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
6 | Barnsley | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 35 |
9 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 35 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 34 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 34 |
12 | Portsmouth | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 31 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 29 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 29 |
16 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 29 |
17 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 28 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Morecambe | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 24 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 24 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
22 | Burton Albion | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 22 |
23 | MK Dons | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 20 |
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