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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
40.25% | 26.05% | 33.69% |
Both teams to score 53.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.28% | 50.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% | 72.62% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% | 24.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.58% | 59.42% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.41% | 28.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.61% | 64.39% |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.89% 2-1 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.89% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-0 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.62% Total : 40.25% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.67% Total : 33.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 |
4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 |
19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 |
20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 |
21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 |
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