Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
