Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
