Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.
