Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
