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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sunderland in this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
25.86% | 25.71% | 48.43% |
Both teams to score 50.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.15% | 52.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.53% | 74.47% |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% | 35.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% | 72.16% |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% | 21.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% | 55.06% |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 8.03% 2-1 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.67% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.73% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.76% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.95% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.54% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.73% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 48.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |