Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
