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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
40.52% | 26.28% | 33.2% |
Both teams to score 52.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.21% | 51.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.45% | 73.55% |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.82% | 25.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.1% | 59.9% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% | 29.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.56% | 65.43% |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.62% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 3.96% 3-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.52% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.06% 1-2 @ 7.64% 0-2 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 61 | 22 | 39 | 77 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 74 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 36 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 72 |
4 | Barnsley | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 66 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 63 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 55 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 35 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 54 |
10 | Portsmouth | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 51 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 35 | 9 | 18 | 8 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 45 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 45 |
14 | Port Vale | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 44 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 43 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 42 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 46 | -17 | 40 |
18 | Burton Albion | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 36 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 35 |
21 | Morecambe | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 33 |
22 | MK Dons | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 33 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 36 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | 69 | -41 | 23 |
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