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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
42.52% | 26.22% | 31.26% |
Both teams to score 52.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% | 52.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% | 73.79% |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% | 24.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% | 30.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% | 67.15% |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.69% Total : 42.52% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.49% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.81% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 29 | 8 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 95 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 94 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 44 | 26 | 7 | 11 | 76 | 41 | 35 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 57 | 34 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 44 | 13 | 20 | 11 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 43 | 14 | 10 | 19 | 56 | 78 | -22 | 52 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 50 |
18 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 44 | 10 | 14 | 20 | 45 | 54 | -9 | 44 |
20 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 41 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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