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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a win it was 1-0 (7.62%).
Result | ||
Draw | ||
22.41% | 25.32% | 52.27% |
Both teams to score 48.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.77% | 54.23% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.37% | 75.63% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.69% | 39.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% | 76.01% |
Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% | 20.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.6% | 53.4% |
Score Analysis |
Draw | ||
1-0 @ 7.62% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.56% 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.37% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.42% Total : 22.41% | 1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 12.82% 0-2 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 9.42% 0-3 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-4 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.49% Total : 52.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 67 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 20 | 33 | 65 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 23 | 25 | 59 |
4 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 56 | 31 | 25 | 57 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
6 | Barnsley | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 53 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 50 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 29 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 41 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 39 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 29 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
15 | Port Vale | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 36 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 35 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 33 |
19 | Burton Albion | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 57 | -19 | 31 |
20 | MK Dons | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 29 |
21 | Morecambe | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 27 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 22 |
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