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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
36.7% | 25.09% | 38.21% |
Both teams to score 57.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.91% | 46.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.61% | 68.39% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.37% | 24.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.86% | 59.14% |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% | 23.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% | 57.99% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 6.04% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.04% 2-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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