Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
