Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.23%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
