Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
40.1% | 28.33% | 31.57% |
Both teams to score 46.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.06% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.81% | 80.2% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.77% | 29.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% | 65.19% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.26% | 34.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.53% | 71.47% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-1 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 1.76% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.58% Total : 40.1% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 46 | 8 | 38 | 62 |
2 | Real Madrid | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 53 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 44 |
5 | Real BetisBetis | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 41 |
6 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 35 |
8 | Osasuna | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 34 |
9 | Athletic Bilbao | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 33 |
10 | Mallorca | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 31 |
11 | GironaGirona | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 28 |
13 | Espanyol | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 27 |
15 | CadizCadiz | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 26 |
16 | Sevilla | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 25 |
17 | Almeria | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 25 |
18 | Getafe | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
19 | Valencia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
20 | ElcheElche | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 48 | -30 | 12 |
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