Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
