Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 1-2 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
