Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
