Nagoya Grampus 3-1 Shimizu S-Pulse - J1 League - September 26, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 26, 2020 at 6am UK at Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Abe (2'), Maeda (25'), Maruyama (74')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Carlinhos (88')
Augusto (77')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
49.01%	25.14%	25.85%

Both teams to score 52.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.39%

50.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47%

72.53%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33%

20.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.74%

53.26%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.79%

34.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.1%

70.9%

Score Analysis

Nagoya Grampus 49%

Shimizu S-Pulse 25.85%

Draw 25.13%

Nagoya Grampus	Draw	Shimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 11.14% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.61% Total : 49%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 7.07% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.85%