Kashiwa Reysol 3-2 Shonan Bellmare - J1 League - July 18, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Jul 18, 2020 at 11am UK at Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Olunga (19', 44' pen.), Nakama (70')
Kamiya (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Matsuda (63'), Ishihara (83')
Elyounoussi (32')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Shonan Bellmare.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 19.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
57.88%	22.14%	19.98%

Both teams to score 54.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.92%

44.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.54%

66.46%

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04%

14.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.63%

43.37%

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02%

35.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24%

72.76%

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 57.88%

Shonan Bellmare 19.98%

Draw 22.14%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.71% 3-1 @ 6.29% 3-0 @ 6.15% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.99% 4-0 @ 2.92% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.67% Total : 57.88%	1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 5.38% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.14%	0-1 @ 5.5% 1-2 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 2.81% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.98%