Gamba Osaka 2-1 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - September 23, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Sep 23, 2020 at 11am UK at Panasonic Stadium Suita

Yamamoto (53'), Usami (87')
Takao (35')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kanazaki (21')
Yonemoto (41'), Nakatani (51'), Oh (79')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
39.81%	26.28%	33.91%

Both teams to score 52.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.37%

51.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58%

73.41%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.52%

25.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.68%

60.31%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.09%

28.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22%

64.78%

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 39.8%

Nagoya Grampus 33.91%

Draw 26.27%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 8.55% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 39.8%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 9.14% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.21% 0-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.91%