Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.