Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Nagoya Grampus - J1 League - February 28, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 28, 2021 at 4am UK

Kanamori (82')
Grolli (7'), Shigehiro (48'), Shichi (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mateus (4', 55')
Yamasaki (13'), Soma (49')

Coverage of the J1 League clash between Avispa Fukuoka and Nagoya Grampus.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.45%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (12.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.

Result
Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
33.47%	29.54%	37%

Both teams to score 43.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.3%

63.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.03%

82.97%

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61%

35.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85%

72.15%

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98%

33.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.4%

69.61%

Score Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka 33.46%

Nagoya Grampus 36.99%

Draw 29.53%

Avispa Fukuoka	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 12.13% 2-1 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 2.18% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.1% Total : 33.46%	1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 3.87% Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.53%	0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 7.45% 0-2 @ 7.17% 1-3 @ 2.75% 0-3 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.99%