Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Panama had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.