Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAS Giannina win with a probability of 51.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAS Giannina win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
