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Fantasy Football advice: Trent Alexander-Arnold leads defensive options

FPL advice: Alexander-Arnold leads defensive options
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The 20-year-old has emerged as one of the best attacking full-backs in the league.

Trent Alexander-Arnold has not exactly flown under the radar this season as a Fantasy Premier League option, but if you are one of the 79 per cent of managers yet to buy him, there is still time.

The Liverpool and England player is the third highest-scoring defender in terms of FPL points this season, behind only team-mates Virgil Van Dijk and Andrew Robertson.

He is also third on the list of defenders with FPL assists (eight) and has racked up some serious clean sheet points in the Reds' title-challenging defence – here is why you should back him in the final three games.

The fixture list looks kind

A table showing the projected FPL points for defenders in the final three games of the season

The Premier League being as strong as it is means no game can be dismissed as easy, but according to the FPL's own Fixture Difficulty Ranking (FDR) system, Liverpool could not have hoped for a much better title run-in.

With Huddersfield (h) Newcastle (a) and Wolves (h) remaining, the Reds do not have a game with an FDR higher than three (the toughest fixtures being a five) and that adds up to some serious projected points for Alexander-Arnold.

Based on the 20-year-old's average score in matches with the same FDR this season, Alexander-Arnold is predicted to win 22.6 points in the final three games of the season – can he produce with the title on the line?

Liverpool's defence hasn't looked this good for years

A table showing the tightest defences in the Premier League according to expected goals

Liverpool's attack got them to the Champions League final last season, but it has arguably been their defence which has sent them on a title charge this time around.

The acquisition of Van Dijk appears to have added solidity to a back four already stocked with excellent young full-backs – as a result Liverpool have conceded just 20 goals in 35 games, the best defensive record in the division.

It has been no fluke. Expected goals (xG) illustrates the likelihood of a chance being converted into a goal, and Liverpool's defence has given up less than a goal's worth of opportunities in more than three quarters of their 2018/19 league games.

That is why Alexander-Arnold has 14 FPL clean sheets so far this season – but perhaps his most attractive quality to FPL managers is his strength going forward.

He is the most 'creative' FPL defender by a distance right now

A table showing the most creative defenders over the past 10 Premier League games according to the Fantasy Premier League's Creativity score

The official FPL website has developed specific measures which indicate how useful players might be to FPL managers, and one of those is creativity.

Creativity, according to the FPL website, "assesses player performance in terms of producing goalscoring opportunities for others" looking at passing and crossing.

A score is then produced, and in the last 10 matches no defender (who has featured in at least seven of those 10 games) has a higher Creativity score than Alexander-Arnold's 37.9.

All you need to know is that this score suggests the England right-back is still in chance-creating form – if defenders' assists are the cherry on top of your FPL cake, Alexander-Arnold is your man.


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Tottenham Hotspur's Son Heung-min celebrates scoring against Manchester City in the Champions League on April 27, 2019
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool36287184206491
2Manchester CityMan City35292489226789
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs362311265362970
4Chelsea35207859382167
5Arsenal35206969462366
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd35197963501364
7Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36159124644254
8Everton36148145044650
9Watford36148145152-150
10Leicester CityLeicester35146154847148
11West Ham UnitedWest Ham36137164554-946
12Crystal Palace36127174348-543
13Bournemouth36126185265-1342
14Newcastle UnitedNewcastle35118163544-941
15Burnley35117174462-1840
16Southampton36911164461-1738
17Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton3597193254-2234
18Cardiff CityCardiff3694233066-3631
RFulham3675243476-4226
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield3635282074-5414

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