Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Basel.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Osijek win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
