Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.21%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
