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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
27.26% | 24.33% | 48.41% |
Both teams to score 56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.83% | 46.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% | 68.46% |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.27% | 30.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.01% | 66.99% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.85% | 19.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.2% | 50.8% |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
1-0 @ 6.94% 2-1 @ 6.77% 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.26% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.49% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 5.23% 0-3 @ 4.43% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.83% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.16% Total : 48.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 27 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 59 |
3 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 53 | 32 | 21 | 54 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 49 |
6 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 42 |
8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 38 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 30 |
13 | Vitesse | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 58 | -26 | 27 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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