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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
31.13% | 23.82% | 45.04% |
Both teams to score 60.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.39% | 41.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.99% | 64% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% | 25.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.31% | 60.69% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.28% | 18.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.91% | 50.09% |
Score Analysis |
RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 6.54% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-2 @ 2.82% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.13% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 4.82% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.82% | 1-2 @ 9.18% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 5.13% 0-3 @ 3.78% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.15% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.44% Total : 45.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Ajax | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 55 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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