Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
