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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
35.03% | 24.93% | 40.05% |
Both teams to score 57.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% | 45.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% | 67.83% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% | 25.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% | 60.06% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.38% | 22.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.76% | 56.24% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 8.03% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.74% 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 11.68% 2-2 @ 5.97% 0-0 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.69% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.32% 1-3 @ 4.3% 0-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.96% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.16% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 61 |
2 | Ajax | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 28 | 44 | 56 |
3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 33 | 38 | 56 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 54 |
5 | FC Twente | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 48 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 35 |
9 | Heerenveen | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 35 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
14 | Vitesse | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 24 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 24 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 25 | 61 | -36 | 24 |
17 | Groningen | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 51 | -30 | 16 |
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