Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.33%) and 0-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
