Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
